2016/07/05

25位頂級交易大師的”交易忠告”:第24位 John Templeton約翰·鄧普頓

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操盤心得分享:保持所有的交易記錄,好的和壞的都要.對它們一加以分析,看看你對在哪裡,錯在何處.力求下次遇到同樣的情況時做得更好。一個外匯新手務必向"職業"交易者看齊,必須具備這個好習慣,光憑運氣是不行的。就拿支阻位分析來說,重要一點:如果每週一外匯價位開盤就在新時段預測幅度的頂端(pivot point 指標的R2或更高),換言之,處在賣區(高於中央樞軸點的區域),且有其它指標指示價格過高(如特定K線,均線背離或趨勢線突破),那麼價位有可能已經是新時段的高點了。同理,如果每週一價位開盤于新時段預測幅度的底部(S2或更低),或者說處於買區(中央樞軸點以下區域),且有其它指標建議價位過低,則價位可能就是新時段的低點了。如果行情波段變化,看不懂就不要做,不要衝動或僅僅是想做而做,無形中會養成壞習慣,那會帶來很多麻煩。切記,僅當前上揭四種工具有了非常明確信號時才操作。

「投資界交易經典」電子書-中英文CW 連載↓↓↓  
編譯:CopyWinner富智贏家-Smith Pan

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25位頂級交易大師的交易忠告24 John Templeton約翰·鄧普頓


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Quotations:大師語錄

If you begin with a prayer, you can think more clearly and make fewer mistakes. 如果你有一個祈禱開始,你能想到更清楚的一件事,就是少犯錯誤。

-       JOHN TEMPLETON約翰·鄧普頓
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Sir John Marks Templeton (29 November 1912 – 8 July 2008) was an American-born British stock investor, businessman and philanthropist. He rejected technical analysis for stock trading, preferring instead to use fundamental analysis. Money magazine in 1999 called him “arguably the greatest global stock picker of the century”. 約翰·馬克斯鄧普頓爵士(19121129日至820087月)是美國出生的英國股票的投資者,商人和慈善家。他拒絕了股票交易的技術分析,而寧願使用基本面分析。在1999年貨幣雜誌稱他為“可以說是最大的全球性選股的世紀推手”。

Don’t gamble .  Buy some good stock .  Hold it till it goes up…and then sell it .  If it doesn’t go up, don’t buy it! 不要賭博。買一些好股票。按住它,直到它上升......然後把它賣掉。如果不上漲,就不買它!

But, if you buy the same securities everyone else is buying, you will have the same results as everyone else .  By definition, you can’t outperform the market if you buy the market .  And chances are if you buy what everyone is buying you will do so only after it is already overpriced . 但是,如果你買的同一證券時大家都在買,你和其他人將有相同的結果。根據定義,如果你買的市場商品,它漲勢不能跑贏大盤。如果你買什麼大家都在買,你因此有機會被套住,已經是被高估價格的股票了。

A wise investor knows that the stock market is really a market of stocks . While individual stocks may be pulled along momentarily by a strong bull market, ultimately it is the individual stocks that determine the market, not vice versa . 一個明智的投資者都知道,股市是真正的個股市場。雖然個股可沿瞬間由一個強大的牛市拉升,最終仍是由市場大盤決定,而不是由背離大盤的個股所決定。

Expect and react to change .  No bull market is permanent .  No bear market is permanent . And there are no stocks that you can buy and forget . The pace of change is too great . 期望和應對變化的市塲。牛市是無永久性的。熊市亦是沒有永久性的。並沒有一個股票,你可以購買和忘記。因為市塲變化的速度實在是太大了。

The only way to avoid mistakes is not to invest—which is the biggest mistake of all . So forgive yourself for your errors .  Don’t become discouraged, and certainly don’t try to recoup your losses by taking bigger risks .  Instead, turn each mistake into a learning experience .  Determine exactly what went wrong and how you can avoid the same mistake in the future . 避免錯誤的唯一方法是不投資,這是所有的最大的錯誤。所以,原諒自己你的錯誤。不要灰心,一定不要試圖通過採取更大的風險來彌補你的損失。相反,把每一次錯誤成為學習的經驗。確定到底出了什麼問題以及如何避免在未來同樣的錯誤。

Do not be fearful or negative too often . 不要太過於害怕或太消極。

Never invest on sentiment . The company that gave you your first job, or built the first car you ever owned, or sponsored a favorite television show of long ago may be a fine company .  But that doesn’t mean its stock is a fine investment .  Even if the corporation is truly excellent, prices of its shares may be too high . 切勿情緒進行投資。這給了你的第一份工作,或者你建曾經擁有的第一輛車,或者贊助喜愛的電視節目早就該公司可能是個好公司。但是,這並不意味著其股票是一個很好的投資。即使公司是真正優秀的,其股票價格可能過高。

to be continued ...待續...
(下回连载25位頂級交易大師的交易忠告25 David Tepper大衛·泰珀)

REFERENCES :  franklintempleton.com, wikipedia.org, templeton.org
EditEd by brandon Clay布蘭登·克萊

( Chinese translation & Editor中文翻譯&編輯者:CopyWinner富智贏家-Smith Pan)


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